This game the chances are 47%, not 25% which is twice more.

Also in that game from which you quoted what I said people wanted to lynch an AFK guy just because of being AFK IIRC, there wasn't a bandwagon on anyone else, this game it's different - either AFK or not AFK. I don't see why this is suspicious to some.

I admit, it's an interesting idea you came up with, but if I was you, I would've waited to see if SiX will flip inno or mafia.

Who are Xen and Kaebbel btw?

what I understand from that quote is that you're against voting afks in general.. you said it, it's a waste of lynch. "Plus, it's risky."

<------ Kaebbel


Xen is Katcrusader

Listen, last game was different. People were going after an AFK guy, and there were very little votes on other players. They were going after him simply because he was AFK so that's why I wrote I won't be voting for him or any other AFKs under same circumstances in the last game. This game, it's either an AFK guy or an active one. Quite simple in my opinion.

Okay, so we need to concentrate on those 4, there is atleast 1 mafia here.

The fact that Rainboy, Lawliet and katCrusader changed their vote just before round end is very suspicious- especially the time difference between Lawliet's and katCrusaders's post: only 6 mins. This suggests that there is a connection between the 2.

NumBle's reason to lynch Styx:

Note that the quote above was the only post related to the vote, even though Styx responded, NumBle kept his vote.

This was NumBle's reply to my post. From this we conclude that NumBle does not have any PR role (IF he was telling the truth). Again as mentioned previously, NumBle's activity and playstyle does not match in this game. I've noticed from the games he played that he becomes very active as a mafia and stays low as a villager. Please do note that mafia tend to be active too, so voting someone who is active is not "backstabbing each villager one by one".

Rainboy's reason to lynch Styx:

According to this we can see that Rainboy voted to lynch Styx solely based on his opinion- there was no logical reason to not vote Panda. Panda didn't even try to defend himself, he simply counter-voted Six.

Connection between NumBle and Rainboy (accourding to the steam logs posted by Rainboy):

So we know that Rainboy and NumBle were behind the Styx lynch. However, the fact that Rainboy revealed such crucial information to Emizek suggests multiple scenarios: 1. NumBle convinced Rainboy to lynch Styx, therefore NumBle is the real culprit and Rainboy is basically a villagers. 2. Rainboy was the one who convinced Numble to lynch Styx and the other way around. 3. NumBle and Rainboy are both mafia and Rainboy made a mistake by revealing this info about NumBle. 4. Similar to scenario 3, but instead of it being a mistake it was intended for psychological manipulation (very unlikely though because its too risky).

I would like to know who contacted Lawliet and katCrusader regarding this Styx vote, was it Rainboy or Numble?


Lawliet's reason to lynch Styx:

As for his reason 1, he refers to this post:

As we can see, Lawliet was completely against the idea of lynching Panda, he is telling us that Panda's teammates would have helped him out- totally contradicting himself by defending Panda for being too 'cute'.

As for reason number 2, he mentioned that he wanted to apply pressure on Styx to get him to 'talk'. However, he's completely ignoring the fact that this reply was made at 2:29 AM, just around 1 hour before round end. Bad mistake there Lawliet.

As for Lawliet's vote against Kontra, it seems that he's completely ignoring the fact that Styx is actually a villager and instead, moving onto someone else (who doesn't seem to be that suspicious) rather than accusing those who convinced him to lynch Styx (based on the steam logs) which is what Lawliet would normally do based on previous gameplays.

As for katCrusader's reason to lynch Styx- I found nothing about of lynching him rather than protecting Panda. This was the only reason:

Can't say much other than the fact that she (or he ) was the only one to vote no lynch at the beginning. Typical mafia behaviour tbh.

Note that Panda did not defend himself, he asked his (possible) mafia teammates to help him out. In this case, we see that katCrusader and Lawliet were the first ones to help him out.

There might be 1 villager between those 4 which imo would be Rainboy, however, this is based on nothing. Otherwise, they could all be Mafia, just different teams. My vote stands between NumBle and Lawliet.
[vote Lawliet]

[vote Rainboy] sorry for mistake xD

Vote will be forthcoming, after I do some more analysis.

After looking through things, Arsenic and Six piqued my interest as potential medalists for the (apparently much coveted, given the superb quality of the arguments tossed around) contest of who gets my vote. Arsenic is unusually afk, and Six is being a distracting airhead. Since Six being an airhead isn't too uncommon, Arsenic wins. Six will have to try better next time if he wants a spot on the podium.

Will monitor and change later as the round evolves (especially if Arsenic posts something meaningful soon).

[vote Arsenic]

woo 10 people not voting.

busy with uni stuff so sorry for inactivity, shrug, shit time for me

So much for the gung ho "rainboy is the only one for me."

I've been replaced by an institution. I'm hurt.

Oh no you didn't!

Is this the end for the passionate Rainboy-Maki relationship we all know and love? Will Maki go back to his first love: MMage? Or will they work out their differences in time to become a happy couple again?

#WWDrama #Rainaki #MakBoy #breakup

Re: Ultor vs Pandas


Re: K0ntRa vs AFKs


Placeholder [Vote K0ntRa] (unknown target) for terribad logic ~facepalm~